Product documentation

How Forecast AI works.

Forecast AI is a multi-agent forecasting platform for prediction markets and tokenized real-world assets. This documentation describes the live web product, its evidence model, agent system and onchain proof layer.

01 / Overview

One system, three forecasting surfaces.

The platform separates collection, specialist analysis, consensus and verification. Users can run Forecast AI's standard seven-agent Swarm or activate a custom standalone agent or custom swarm through Agent Studio.

Forecast Lab

Prediction-market probability forecasts for Polymarket and Kalshi.

RWA Intelligence

Directional RWA Asset Outlooks for Robinhood Stock Tokens.

Agent Studio

User-configured agents for Prediction Markets, RWA Assets or Hybrid (PM+RWA).

02 / Forecast Lab

Prediction markets are the primary forecast target.

Select a live Polymarket or Kalshi contract, then run the standard Swarm or an active compatible user-created agent. Forecast Lab returns a probability, confidence, individual agent outputs, supporting evidence, citations and market-intelligence context.

Core output
Final probability and direction
Seven role-specific probabilities
Reasoning and uncertainty
Market, Smart Money and social context
Provider states and citations
Shareable published result
03 / RWA Intelligence

Asset outlooks, with prediction markets as supporting signals.

RWA Intelligence starts from a Robinhood Stock Token and its current bid/ask midpoint. The target is whether the reference price may be higher after 24 hours, 7, 30, 90 or 180 days. At the horizon, Forecast AI waits for a verifiable Robinhood quote, compares its midpoint with the original reference, and calculates Brier Scores for consensus and every participating agent. Polymarket and Kalshi events remain supporting signals only.

Reference
Current bid/ask midpoint
Horizon
24H, 7D, 30D, 90D or 180D
Resolution
Higher or not higher at horizon
04 / Agent Studio

Build the forecasting identity, then measure it.

Agent Studio supports a custom seven-agent swarm or one standalone specialist. Every identity has a purpose, model configuration, evidence modules, category, RWA horizons and its own proof history.

Custom 7-agent swarm

Configure every specialist separately, then combine all seven results before consensus.

Standalone specialist

Create one purpose-built forecasting agent with a compatible model and evidence stack.

BYOK: users can connect their own supported model API keys or approved custom endpoints. Partner intelligence integrations remain platform-managed and are not exposed through BYOK.
05 / Proof Network

Verifiable before the outcome is known.

Eligible published Prediction Market Forecasts and RWA Asset Outlooks can be committed to Robinhood. The commitment proves that a forecast existed before resolution without treating every private or incomplete run as publishable proof.

Commit

Hash and timestamp on Robinhood.

Resolve

Official market outcome or horizon price.

Score

Brier Score and identity track record.

06 / Data providers

Evidence keeps its provenance.

Polymarket and Kalshi
Prediction-market discovery, pricing and event context.
Falcon by Polygun
Prediction-market intelligence, social activity and supporting signals.
Bravado
Ranked-trader positioning and Smart Money confirmation for relevant Polymarket markets.
Tavily
Live web research and evidence retrieval.
FactsAI
Partner research connector with explicit availability reporting.
SEC EDGAR
Primary corporate filings for RWA analysis.
Robinhood
Stock Token context, agent bonds and verifiable forecast commitments.

Every run can report a provider as used, unavailable, failed or irrelevant. An integration being configured does not mean its evidence is forced into every forecast.

07 / Open source

The original forecasting framework remains open source.

Developers can inspect the multi-agent architecture, configure their own model providers, run local forecasts and expose the FastAPI service on their own infrastructure. The hosted product includes additional managed integrations and product workflows.

Quick install
curl -fsSL https://raw.githubusercontent.com/codebyollie/forecast-agents/main/install.sh | bash
08 / $FORAI utility

Current utility is separate from planned utility.

Live now

Currently, a 200,000 $FORAI bond activates one user-created agent identity on Robinhood. Each additional active agent needs its own bond. Unlocking returns the bond and retires the identity while preserving its record. Because Forecast AI is free during testing, holder tiers receive higher usage limits and more analysis and agent runs.

Under discussion

Expanded model access, agent payments, performance rewards and public marketplace economics are potential utilities, not final commitments. They will be discussed further with the community before final specifications are approved.

09 / Product status

Live product, active testing.

Forecast Lab, RWA Intelligence, Agent Studio, public result sharing, automatic RWA resolution and the Proof Network are available for testing. The next development phase focuses on deeper profiles, source-correlation controls, public agent discovery and pay-per-use provider routing.

Try Forecast AI